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Richmond, VA Housing Market

AI-powered market intelligence for the Richmond, VA metro area.

PropertyIQ Scores

Richmond, VA Market Analysis

Market Overview

Richmond’s housing market presents a moderate profile, with a PropertyIQ Score of 67 out of 100. The score is supported by a 12-month home value momentum of 4.59%, but tempered by a 3-month home value momentum of -0.64%. The median home value is $394,521, below the Virginia state average of $414,662 by $20,141. The rent index of $1,729 is well above the state average of $1,514, a difference of $215. The local unemployment rate is 3.7 percent, matching the state average. Median household income is $84,405, below the state benchmark of $90,974 by $6,569.

These figures suggest a market that is not overheated but still shows areas of relative strength, especially in rental economics. Home values are more affordable than the state average, but local incomes also lag the state, which can offset some of that affordability. The score of 67 reflects mixed signals: positive annual momentum, slight recent cooling, a moderate days-on-market figure of 44, and a meaningful share of listings with price cuts at 17.0 percent. Overall, Richmond registers as a moderate market rather than a clearly strong or weak one.

Key Trends

The first trend is flattening home price growth. The 12-month home value momentum of 4.59 percent indicates appreciation over the past year, but the 3-month momentum of -0.64 percent shows a short-term pullback. The year-over-year change in home value is only $2, essentially flat. This suggests the stronger annual gain has given way to a more level pricing environment in recent months.

A second trend is cooling market conditions. The median days on market is 44 days, and 17.0 percent of listings have had a price cut. These data points point to buyers having some negotiating room and homes taking more time to sell than in a highly competitive market. With 3,278 homes for sale, inventory is present, although no state benchmark is provided for comparison.

A third trend is the rental market outperforming the state average. The rent index of $1,729 is $215 above the Virginia average of $1,514, a difference of about 14.2 percent. This relative rent strength contrasts with the median home value, which is below the state average. That gap may reflect local demand for rental housing or a market where renting is more expensive relative to state norms.

A fourth trend is a mixed affordability picture. The median home value of $394,521 is lower than the state average, which helps buyer affordability. However, median household income of $84,405 is also below the state average of $90,974. The local unemployment rate of 3.7 percent matches the state and signals a stable labor market, but population growth data is not available, so longer-run demand trends cannot be directly measured.

Who Is This Market For

Richmond appears suited to investors who prioritize rental income. The rent index of $1,729 is well above the state average, while the median home value is lower than the state average, which may create a more favorable rent-to-price relationship than in higher-priced parts of Virginia. The 44-day median time on market and 17.0 percent share of listings with price cuts also give investors some room to negotiate.

The market may also fit budget-conscious first-time buyers. The median home value of $394,521 is below the state average of $414,662, and the recent flattening in price momentum could reduce the pressure of rapid appreciation. However, with median household income of $84,405 trailing the state average, affordability remains a challenge for some local households.

Move-up buyers may find a more balanced environment than in recent years. With a 3-month price momentum of -0.64 percent, a median days on market of 44, and a 17.0 percent price-cut share, sellers are not in a position of overwhelming strength. That dynamic can benefit buyers who are also selling a home, as they may have greater leverage on the purchase side.

Outlook

The data points to a near-term outlook of continued moderation rather than sharp acceleration or steep decline. The 12-month home value momentum of 4.59 percent shows underlying annual demand, but the -0.64 percent 3-month momentum and essentially flat year-over-year home value change of $2 indicate that price growth has slowed. With a median days on market of 44 and 17.0 percent of listings cutting prices, the market is likely to remain buyer-friendly in the short term. The rent index of $1,729 and unemployment rate of 3.7 percent provide some stability, but the absence of population growth data leaves a gap in assessing longer-term demand. Absent a clear shift in the provided data, Richmond’s market appears positioned for continued balance, with modest price movement and steady rental interest.

AI-generated analysis based on current market data. Last updated September 25, 2026.

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Richmond, VA Housing Market Overview

The Richmond, VA metropolitan area represents a distinct segment of VA's housing landscape. The PropertyIQ Score combines price momentum — how Zillow home values have trended over the past 3 and 12 months — with market-flow signals from Realtor.com that track how fast homes sell and how often sellers cut prices. The result is a single measure of how this market is positioned to outperform or lag its state over the next three years.

The South Atlantic region continues to attract domestic migration with its combination of job growth, favorable tax environments, and year-round climate. Markets range from rapidly appreciating tech corridors to established retirement destinations with strong rental demand.

Each month, PropertyIQ updates its score for Richmond, VA using four inputs: Zillow ZHVI twelve-month and three-month momentum, Realtor.com median days on market, and the Realtor.com share of listings with price cuts. These four signals are combined into a single 1 to 99 score computed across all metro markets and calibrated so 50 represents the state average, making it a direct read of how this market is positioned to perform relative to its state.

Use PropertyIQ's interactive analytics to compare Richmond, VA against any other US metro on its PropertyIQ Score and underlying metrics. Generate a free AI market report, explore historical trends on the graphs page, or see how this market ranks on the scores dashboard.

Sourced from Zillow, Realtor.com, Redfin, U.S. Census Bureau, FRED, BLS, and BEA. Per-statistic source and date shown above.

Richmond, VA Housing Market Forecast 2027 →Where the momentum data says this market is heading — score, confidence grade, and the signals behind it.