Bartlesville, OK Housing Market Forecast 2026
A momentum-based outlook built from real market data: the PropertyIQ demand score, days on market, and price-cut trends — refreshed monthly, with a confidence grade. No speculation, no price targets.
PropertyIQ Score
Will Bartlesville, OK Home Prices Crash in 2026?
The current momentum data does not show a crash signal for Bartlesville. The market's PropertyIQ Score is 75 out of 100, where 50 equals the state average, and the confidence grade is A. The 12-month home value momentum is 8.56%, which is positive and the top score driver, while the 3-month home value momentum is 1.23%, also positive but more modest. Median days on market is 55 days, and 20.1% of listings have a price cut. These indicators point to firming or steady conditions rather than a market in rapid decline. The separate home value year-over-year figure is minus one dollar, which is essentially flat and not consistent with a crash. The data does not show accelerating price declines, a sharp slowdown in sales pace, or a surge in price cuts. At the same time, the data does not show a strong boom either. Population growth is not available, and national benchmarks were not provided, so the full demand picture is incomplete. Based solely on the momentum data provided, a crash in 2026 is not indicated.
Momentum Signals
The PropertyIQ Score of 75 is driven by several momentum metrics. The 12-month home value momentum of 8.56% is the strongest driver and signals rising annual price momentum. The 3-month home value momentum of 1.23% is positive but smaller, suggesting that shorter-term momentum is steady rather than accelerating. The median days on market of 55 days signals a measured pace of transactions, which supports steady buyer demand. The share of listings with a price cut of 20.1% signals some easing in seller expectations, but it does not indicate distress or forced selling. Together these signals produce a score above the state average and a high confidence grade of A. The missing population growth data is a limitation, because population change is often a key driver of housing demand. Without it, the momentum picture rests on price movement, market pace, and price cuts.
How Bartlesville, OK Compares
Bartlesville's PropertyIQ Score of 75 is above the state average of 50, indicating stronger demand momentum relative to the state. The median home value in Bartlesville is $187,410, which is below the state average of $223,612. The rent index is $1,261, above the state average of $980. The unemployment rate is 4.2%, exactly matching the state average of 4.2%. Median household income is $61,205, slightly below the state average of $63,603. Homes for sale total 159, but no state benchmark was provided for this supply measure. Days on market at 55 days and the price cut share at 20.1% also lack state benchmarks in the provided data. National benchmarks were not provided at all. The comparison is therefore mixed: Bartlesville has a lower median home value and slightly lower household income than the state, but a higher rent index and a higher momentum score.
The Bottom Line for 2026
Bartlesville enters 2026 with firming momentum relative to the state, supported by a PropertyIQ Score of 75 and an A confidence grade. The 12-month home value momentum is positive at 8.56%, and the 3-month momentum is positive but modest at 1.23%. Median days on market of 55 days and a price cut share of 20.1% indicate steady activity with some cooling in seller expectations. The year-over-year home value change of minus one dollar is essentially flat, reinforcing a stable price environment rather than a declining one. The market's median home value and income are below state averages, while rent is above the state average, which suggests mixed affordability and rental demand conditions. Population growth and national benchmarks are missing, so the outlook has some data gaps. Overall, the momentum data supports a steady to firming 2026 outlook and does not show a crash signal.