Will Home Prices Crash in 2026? What the Data Shows
Live demand-momentum readings across every scored US metro — updated monthly from price trends, days on market, and price-cut data, each with a confidence grade. No hot takes, no price targets.
Across 935 scored metro markets, 49% show easing or weak demand momentum heading into 2026, 10% are steady near their state average, and 40% are firming or rising. That is a market moving unevenly, not in one direction.
40%
Firming or rising momentum
10%
Steady, near state average
49%
Easing or weak momentum
Frequently Asked Questions
Will home prices crash in 2026?
No single national answer is honest — housing is local. The live data shows a market moving unevenly, not in one direction: some metros have weak demand momentum while others are still firming. PropertyIQ tracks the demand signals that historically move before prices (price momentum, days on market, price cuts) across every scored metro, each with a confidence grade. Check your market's forecast page for its specific momentum reading.
How does PropertyIQ build these forecasts?
Each market gets a PropertyIQ Score from four measured inputs: 12-month price momentum, 3-month price momentum, median days on market, and the share of listings with price cuts. Scores are calibrated so 50 equals the market's state average, refreshed monthly, and each carries an A-F confidence grade for data quality. PropertyIQ never publishes specific price predictions.
Which housing markets are cooling fastest?
The lowest-scoring metros right now are Punta Gorda, FL, Madisonville, KY, Cape Coral, FL, Murray, KY, Silver City, NM. A low score means weak demand momentum — days on market stretching and price cuts spreading — not a verdict that a market is bad.
All 2026 Metro Forecasts by State
AL
AR
AZ
CA
Bakersfield, CABishop, CAChico, CAClearlake, CACrescent City, CAEl Centro, CAEureka, CAFresno, CAHanford, CALos Angeles, CAMerced, CAModesto, CANapa, CAOxnard, CARed Bluff, CARedding, CARiverside, CASacramento, CASalinas, CASan Diego, CASan Francisco, CASan Jose, CASan Luis Obispo, CASanta Cruz, CASanta Maria, CASanta Rosa, CASonora, CAStockton, CASusanville, CATruckee, CAUkiah, CAVallejo, CAVisalia, CAYuba City, CA
CO
FL
Arcadia, FLCape Coral, FLClewiston, FLCrestview, FLDeltona, FLGainesville, FLHomosassa Springs, FLJacksonville, FLKey West, FLLake City, FLLakeland, FLMiami, FLNaples, FLNorth Port, FLOcala, FLOkeechobee, FLOrlando, FLPalatka, FLPalm Bay, FLPanama City, FLPensacola, FLPort St. Lucie, FLPunta Gorda, FLSebastian, FLSebring, FLTallahassee, FLTampa, FLWildwood, FL
GA
Albany, GAAmericus, GAAthens, GAAtlanta, GAAugusta, GABainbridge, GABrunswick, GACalhoun, GACedartown, GAColumbus, GACordele, GACornelia, GADalton, GADouglas, GADublin, GAFitzgerald, GAGainesville, GAHinesville, GAJefferson, GAJesup, GAKingsland, GALaGrange, GAMacon, GAMilledgeville, GAMoultrie, GARome, GASavannah, GAStatesboro, GASummerville, GAThomaston, GAThomasville, GATifton, GAToccoa, GAValdosta, GAVidalia, GAWarner Robins, GAWaycross, GA
IA
ID
IL
Bloomington, ILCanton, ILCarbondale, ILCentralia, ILChampaign, ILCharleston, ILChicago, ILDanville, ILDecatur, ILDixon, ILEffingham, ILFreeport, ILGalesburg, ILJacksonville, ILKankakee, ILLincoln, ILMacomb, ILMarion, ILMount Vernon, ILOttawa, ILPeoria, ILPontiac, ILQuincy, ILRochelle, ILRockford, ILSpringfield, ILSterling, ILTaylorville, IL
IN
Angola, INAuburn, INBedford, INBloomington, INColumbus, INConnersville, INCrawfordsville, INDecatur, INElkhart, INEvansville, INFort Wayne, INFrankfort, INGreencastle, INGreensburg, INHuntington, INIndianapolis, INJasper, INKendallville, INKokomo, INLafayette, INLogansport, INMadison, INMarion, INMichigan City, INMonticello, INMuncie, INNew Castle, INPeru, INPlymouth, INRichmond, INSeymour, INSouth Bend, INTerre Haute, INVincennes, INWabash, INWarsaw, INWashington, IN
KS
KY
Bowling Green, KYCampbellsville, KYCorbin, KYDanville, KYElizabethtown, KYFrankfort, KYFranklin, KYGlasgow, KYHenderson, KYLexington, KYLouisville/Jefferson County, KYMadisonville, KYMayfield, KYMiddlesborough, KYMount Sterling, KYMurray, KYOwensboro, KYPaducah, KYPikeville, KYRichmond, KYSomerset, KY
LA
MA
MD
MI
Adrian, MIAlma, MIAlpena, MIAnn Arbor, MIBattle Creek, MIBay City, MIBig Rapids, MICadillac, MIColdwater, MIDetroit, MIEscanaba, MIFlint, MIGrand Rapids, MIHillsdale, MIHolland, MIHoughton, MIIron Mountain, MIJackson, MIKalamazoo, MILansing, MILudington, MIMarquette, MIMidland, MIMonroe, MIMount Pleasant, MIMuskegon, MINiles, MIOwosso, MIPetoskey, MISaginaw, MISault Ste. Marie, MISturgis, MITraverse City, MI
MN
MO
Branson, MOCape Girardeau, MOColumbia, MOFarmington, MOFort Leonard Wood, MOHannibal, MOJefferson City, MOJoplin, MOKansas City, MOKennett, MOKirksville, MOLebanon, MOMarshall, MOMaryville, MOMexico, MOMoberly, MOPoplar Bluff, MORolla, MOSedalia, MOSikeston, MOSpringfield, MOSt. Joseph, MOSt. Louis, MOWarrensburg, MOWest Plains, MO
MS
NC
Albemarle, NCAnderson Creek, NCAsheville, NCBoone, NCBrevard, NCBurlington, NCCharlotte, NCDurham, NCElizabeth City, NCFayetteville, NCForest City, NCGoldsboro, NCGreensboro, NCGreenville, NCHenderson, NCHickory, NCJacksonville, NCKill Devil Hills, NCKinston, NCLaurinburg, NCLumberton, NCMarion, NCMorehead City, NCMount Airy, NCNew Bern, NCNorth Wilkesboro, NCPinehurst, NCRaleigh, NCRoanoke Rapids, NCRockingham, NCRocky Mount, NCSanford, NCShelby, NCWashington, NCWaynesville, NCWilmington, NCWilson, NCWinston, NC
NE
NM
NV
NY
Albany, NYAmsterdam, NYAuburn, NYBatavia, NYBinghamton, NYBuffalo, NYCorning, NYCortland, NYElmira, NYGlens Falls, NYGloversville, NYHudson, NYIthaca, NYJamestown, NYKingston, NYKiryas Joel, NYMassena, NYMonticello, NYNew York, NYOlean, NYOneonta, NYPlattsburgh, NYRochester, NYSeneca Falls, NYSyracuse, NYUtica, NYWatertown, NY
OH
Akron, OHAshland, OHAthens, OHBellefontaine, OHBucyrus, OHCambridge, OHCanton, OHCelina, OHChillicothe, OHCincinnati, OHCleveland, OHColumbus, OHCoshocton, OHDayton, OHDefiance, OHFindlay, OHFremont, OHGallipolis, OHGreenville, OHLima, OHMansfield, OHMarietta, OHMarion, OHMount Vernon, OHNew Philadelphia, OHNorwalk, OHPortsmouth, OHSalem, OHSandusky, OHSidney, OHSpringfield, OHTiffin, OHToledo, OHUrbana, OHVan Wert, OHWapakoneta, OHWashington Court House, OHWilmington, OHWooster, OHYoungstown, OHZanesville, OH
OK
OR
PA
Allentown, PAAltoona, PABloomsburg, PABradford, PAChambersburg, PADuBois, PAEast Stroudsburg, PAErie, PAGettysburg, PAHarrisburg, PAHemlock Farms, PAHermitage, PAHuntingdon, PAIndiana, PAJohnstown, PALancaster, PALebanon, PALewisburg, PALewistown, PALock Haven, PAMeadville, PAOil City, PAPhiladelphia, PAPittsburgh, PAPottsville, PAReading, PASayre, PAScranton, PASelinsgrove, PASomerset, PASt. Marys, PAState College, PASunbury, PAWarren, PAWilliamsport, PAYork, PA
SC
SD
TN
Athens, TNChattanooga, TNClarksville, TNCleveland, TNCookeville, TNCrossville, TNDyersburg, TNFayetteville, TNGreeneville, TNJackson, TNJohnson City, TNKingsport, TNKnoxville, TNLawrenceburg, TNLewisburg, TNMartin, TNMcMinnville, TNMemphis, TNMorristown, TNNashville, TNNewport, TNParis, TNSevierville, TNShelbyville, TNTullahoma, TNUnion City, TNWinchester, TN
TX
Abilene, TXAlice, TXAmarillo, TXAndrews, TXAthens, TXAustin, TXBay City, TXBeaumont, TXBeeville, TXBig Spring, TXBonham, TXBorger, TXBrenham, TXBrownsville, TXBrownwood, TXCollege Station, TXCorpus Christi, TXCorsicana, TXDallas, TXDel Rio, TXDumas, TXEagle Pass, TXEl Campo, TXEl Paso, TXFredericksburg, TXGainesville, TXGranbury, TXHereford, TXHouston, TXHuntsville, TXJacksonville, TXKerrville, TXKilleen, TXKingsville, TXLaredo, TXLongview, TXLubbock, TXLufkin, TXMcAllen, TXMidland, TXMineral Wells, TXMount Pleasant, TXNacogdoches, TXOdessa, TXPalestine, TXPampa, TXParis, TXPlainview, TXPort Lavaca, TXRaymondville, TXRio Grande City, TXSan Angelo, TXSan Antonio, TXSherman, TXSnyder, TXStephenville, TXSulphur Springs, TXSweetwater, TXTexarkana, TXTown of Pecos, TXTyler, TXUvalde, TXVernon, TXVictoria, TXWaco, TXWichita Falls, TXZapata, TX
UT
VA
WA
WI
Appleton, WIBaraboo, WIBeaver Dam, WIEau Claire, WIFond du Lac, WIGreen Bay, WIJanesville, WIKenosha, WILa Crosse, WIMadison, WIManitowoc, WIMarinette, WIMenomonie, WIMilwaukee, WIOshkosh, WIPlatteville, WIRacine, WIRice Lake, WIShawano, WISheboygan, WISparta, WIStevens Point, WIWatertown, WIWausau, WIWhitewater, WIWisconsin Rapids, WI