Duncan, OK Housing Market Forecast 2026
A momentum-based outlook built from real market data: the PropertyIQ demand score, days on market, and price-cut trends — refreshed monthly, with a confidence grade. No speculation, no price targets.
PropertyIQ Score
Will Duncan, OK Home Prices Crash in 2026?
Based only on the momentum data provided, the current signals do not show a crash forming in Duncan, OK for 2026. The PropertyIQ Score is 45 out of 100, with 50 equal to the state average, meaning Duncan's demand momentum is modestly below the state's typical pace. The 12-month home value momentum is positive at 5.13 percent, and the 3-month home value momentum is 0.23 percent, still positive but nearly flat. This pattern suggests a market that has cooled from its prior pace rather than one entering a rapid downward trend. Median days on market sit at 59 days, and 22.5 percent of listings have had a price cut. These figures point to some softening in seller conditions, but they do not indicate a collapse in demand or an acceleration of price declines. The provided data does not include foreclosure, distressed sale, or inventory trend metrics, so a full crash assessment is not possible. What the momentum data does show is a cooling, not a crash signal.
Momentum Signals
The PropertyIQ Score of 45 is five points below the state average of 50, indicating that Duncan's demand momentum is slightly softer than the state benchmark. The score drivers provide a more detailed picture. The 12-month home value momentum of 5.13 percent shows that home values have risen over the past year, which is a firming signal. The 3-month home value momentum of 0.23 percent is much lower, suggesting that the pace of growth has cooled sharply in the short term. This combination points to a market that is transitioning from rising values toward steadier or easing conditions. Median days on market at 59 days indicates a moderate pace of sales, not unusually fast and not extremely slow. A 22.5 percent share of listings with a price cut shows that some sellers are adjusting asking prices, which is consistent with cooling buyer leverage. The dataset also lists a home value year-over-year figure of $1, which is hard to reconcile with the 12-month percentage momentum of 5.13 percent; I rely on the percentage-based score drivers as the clearer momentum signals. Overall, the momentum signals describe a market that is positive over the year but easing over the most recent months, with steady but not aggressive buyer activity.
How Duncan, OK Compares
Duncan's median home value of $144,228 is below the state average of $223,612. The rent index in Duncan is $1,056, which is above the state average of $980. This contrast means Duncan has lower home values than the state average but a higher rent index. The unemployment rate in Duncan is 4.2 percent, exactly equal to the state average of 4.2 percent. Median household income is $60,236, slightly below the state average of $63,603. Homes for sale total 193, but no state benchmark is provided for that metric, so the inventory comparison cannot be made. Population growth is listed as N/A, so demographic momentum cannot be compared. No national benchmark was provided in the dataset, so a direct national comparison is not possible. Overall, Duncan compares as a market with lower home values, higher rents, equal unemployment, and modestly lower household income relative to the state average.
The Bottom Line for 2026
The 2026 momentum outlook for Duncan, OK is best described as steady to easing, with a confidence grade of A. The confidence grade means the signal is reliable. The yearly home value momentum remains positive, but the three-month momentum is nearly flat, and the share of listings with price cuts is about 22.5 percent. Median days on market is moderate at 59 days. These conditions indicate a market that is cooling from earlier momentum rather than building crash pressure. The PropertyIQ Score of 45, below the state average of 50, reinforces that Duncan's demand momentum is slightly softer than the state average. State comparisons show lower home values and slightly lower income, but a higher rent index and equal unemployment. Missing population growth data and missing national benchmarks limit the broader view. Based only on the provided momentum data, the most grounded 2026 outlook is for a cooling but stable market, with no crash signal in the current numbers.
What Drives the Duncan, OK Outlook
Frequently Asked Questions
Will Duncan, OK home prices crash in 2026?
Momentum data does not predict prices, but it shows direction. Duncan, OK has a PropertyIQ Score of 45 (confidence grade F), indicating easing demand momentum. A score of 50 equals the market's state average. PropertyIQ does not publish price-crash predictions; it tracks the demand signals that historically move first: price momentum, days on market, and the share of listings with price cuts.
What is the Duncan, OK PropertyIQ Score?
Duncan, OK currently scores 45 out of 99 (confidence grade F). The PropertyIQ Score measures demand momentum from four inputs: 12-month price momentum, 3-month price momentum, median days on market, and price-reduced share. It is calibrated so 50 equals the state average, and it is refreshed monthly.
How fast are homes selling in Duncan, OK?
The median listing in Duncan, OK currently spends 59 days on the market. Days on market is one of the four inputs to the PropertyIQ Score: shorter times signal firming demand, longer times signal easing demand.
Are Duncan, OK home prices rising or falling right now?
Over the last year, Duncan, OK home values rose 5.1%. That is measured history, not a forecast; the PropertyIQ Score combines it with days-on-market and price-cut data to read where demand is heading.
How current is this Duncan, OK forecast data?
This forecast is refreshed on a monthly cycle, with the latest figures current through July 2026. PropertyIQ recomputes the PropertyIQ Score every month using fresh price momentum data from Zillow and fresh days-on-market and price-cut data from Realtor.com, so the score always reflects the most recently completed reporting period rather than a static snapshot.