Longview, WA Housing Market Forecast 2026
A momentum-based outlook built from real market data: the PropertyIQ demand score, days on market, and price-cut trends — refreshed monthly, with a confidence grade. No speculation, no price targets.
PropertyIQ Score
Will Longview, WA Home Prices Crash in 2026?
The momentum data provided does not show that Longview home prices are on a crash trajectory. A crash would point to a sharp, broad decline, and the current signals instead describe a market that is cooling. The PropertyIQ Score of 8 out of 100 is far below the state average of 50, which indicates weak demand momentum, but weak momentum is not the same as a crash. The 12-month home value momentum is positive at 2.69 percent, while the 3-month momentum is negative at -1.93 percent. That pattern shows recent softening rather than an abrupt fall. The separate reported home value year-over-year change was -$1, effectively flat, which adds a mixed note to the annual picture. Median days on market of 58 and a 29.7 percent share of listings with a price cut point to a slower market, but they do not by themselves signal a crash. The current data does not show a crash underway or imminent.
Momentum Signals
The score drivers describe a market where earlier price firmness has given way to easing. The 12-month home value momentum of 2.69 percent indicates that prices were still rising over the past year. The 3-month momentum of -1.93 percent shows that the most recent trend has turned negative. This shift from positive annual momentum to negative quarterly momentum is a cooling signal: the market was firmer and is now losing steam. Median days on market at 58 days points to a moderate pace, consistent with slower buyer urgency rather than a rapidly clearing market. The share of listings with a price cut at 29.7 percent is elevated and shows that sellers are adjusting asking prices in response to softer demand. Together, these inputs drive the PropertyIQ Score down to 8 out of 100, well below the state benchmark of 50. The confidence grade of A means the underlying data is reliable, so the weak momentum signal should be read as a meaningful current condition.
How Longview, WA Compares
Longview sits below state benchmarks on several key measures. The median home value is $418,021, lower than the state average of $591,879. The rent index is $1,443, also below the state average of $1,760. Median household income in Longview is $76,531, compared with $98,141 statewide, and the unemployment rate is 5.6 percent versus 5.0 percent for the state. That combination shows a local market with lower price and rent levels alongside a softer labor and income picture than the state average. The PropertyIQ Score of 8 relative to the state average of 50 reinforces that demand momentum is much weaker in Longview than across Washington. Homes for sale totaled 432, but no state benchmark for inventory was provided, so inventory pressure cannot be directly compared. Population growth was listed as not available. National benchmark figures were also not provided, so this comparison is limited to the state averages. The provided data does not include state comparisons for days on market or price cut share.
The Bottom Line for 2026
With a confidence grade of A, the momentum picture for Longview entering 2026 is one of cooling and soft demand rather than sharp decline. The negative 3-month home value momentum, elevated share of price cuts, and a PropertyIQ Score far below the state average all point to continued weak momentum in the near term. At the same time, the positive 12-month home value momentum and essentially flat year-over-year home value suggest that the market has been losing steam rather than collapsing. The 58-day median days on market indicates that homes are still selling, though at a moderate pace. For 2026, the data supports a cautious, soft momentum outlook. The absence of population growth data and national benchmarks leaves some gaps, and the crash question cannot be settled by momentum metrics alone. What the high-confidence signal does show is that Longview is in a period of easing demand, with sellers adjusting prices and buyers facing less competitive pressure than the state average.